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The CPI's turn
Both the PCEPI and the CPI are stabilizing
Jun 13
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Ryan Brady
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The CPI's turn
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GDP-Import Confusion
Imports do not cause GDP to decline or increase.
Jun 6
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Ryan Brady
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GDP-Import Confusion
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May 2025
Checking in on the PCEPI
The Fed's main inflation gauge
May 30
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Ryan Brady
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Checking in on the PCEPI
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The Great Deflation of 2009
Sometimes prices do go down (but rarely)
May 16
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Ryan Brady
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The Great Deflation of 2009
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Discretion in action
Understanding the Fed’s inaction
May 9
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Ryan Brady
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Discretion in action
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The Advanced GDP Estimate
It's negative for 2025 Q1
May 2
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Ryan Brady
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The Advanced GDP Estimate
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April 2025
Surging Food Prices
Will that matter to the Fed?
Apr 25
•
Ryan Brady
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Surging Food Prices
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Deflation!?
What this means for the Fed
Apr 11
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Ryan Brady
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Deflation!?
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What will happen to Imports? To Prices? To the Economy?
The question(s) of the hour
Apr 4
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Ryan Brady
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What will happen to Imports? To Prices? To the Economy?
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March 2025
Then versus Now
Consumer spending since Covid-19
Mar 28
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Ryan Brady
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Then versus Now
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Consumer Durables
What this spending category reveals
Mar 21
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Ryan Brady
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Consumer Durables
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Going Negative
The “if-thens” of declining GDP
Mar 14
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Ryan Brady
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Going Negative
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